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How to get the most out of WakeAlpha

Answers to the questions we get most. If something is missing, reach the team at team@wakealpha.com.

Getting started

What is WakeAlpha?
An AI research agent for financial markets. Ask a question about a stock, asset class, macro topic, or what the market is reading into a recent event. The agent pulls live primary data, cross-checks the sources, and writes you a sourced analysis. For probabilistic questions (e.g. how the market is pricing a Fed decision), it reports what current prices imply with a confidence band. Output is research and market commentary, not a trading signal.
How do I ask a good question?
Be specific about the underlying, the threshold, and the horizon. Good: 'How is the market pricing BTC closing above $120K by Dec 31, 2026?' Less good: 'Is BTC going up?' The agent will translate vague questions but the more concrete you are, the tighter the analysis.
Why does a run sometimes take 30 seconds and sometimes 90?
The agent plans, fetches sources, and evaluates whether it has enough evidence before answering. Complex questions trigger more iterations. You can watch the trail unfold live.

Reading the output

What does the analysis header mean?
Three forms: probability (0-100% with ±pp CI), range (e.g. $26-$40 with a wider outer band as CI), or point (single number with absolute CI). The CI is our 90% confidence interval after fusing all sources. Wider CI = more disagreement across sources or thinner liquidity.
Why do you say 'risk-neutral'?
Probabilities derived from options pricing are risk-neutral by construction. They reflect what the market would pay, not what is statistically most likely. We flag these explicitly. Probabilities from real-money event-contract markets do not need this caveat.
Where does the agent show its work?
The trail above the report shows every plan step, every fetch, every data point pulled. Clicking a citation jumps to the underlying source with the raw value and timestamp.

Account & billing

How do credits work?
Each run debits credits based on real token usage (list price × 2). Daily refill on every plan, monthly grant scales with tier. See the pricing page for the math.
How do I cancel?
Settings → Subscription → Cancel. You keep access until the period ends. Signup-bonus credits stay forever.
Billing question?
Email team@wakealpha.com with the date and last 4 digits of the card. We respond within a business day.
Contact

Email the team directly.

Bug reports, feature requests, billing questions, partnership inquiries, all welcome.

team@wakealpha.com